Overall Country Risk

Comparative Risk rating and ranking of 52 African countries providing a clear and transparent means to asses risk
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17 of Africa’s 52 markets do not have a longterm credit risk rating!

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The ABiQ's Overall Country Risk rating is a composite rating which is a measure to what extent economic, political, financial, health, security and other factors can affect investing and doing business in a country. The rating ranges from 1-10 with 1 being the best rating possible and 10 the worst. The ranking is based on the current position compared to all African countries.

For many years Africa has been classified as a high-risk environment.  Political instability, civil war, corruption and financial risk has plagued the continent and alienated investors.

With the dawn of the digital age and mobile connectivity Africa is considered the last frontier. At ABiQ we have built a new Overall Country Risk rating that encapsulates the various areas of risk and ranks markets accordingly

The Overall Country Risk rating is updated quarterly to reflect changing conditions in each of the markets covered.

Our aim is to provide a regular overview of African countries and provide a transparent method to evaluate and rank them.  We consider this an opportunity to provide insight into Africa for prospective investors. It also serves as a platform for African countries to benchmark their policies and performance with regards to stability and all that promotes it.

COUNTRY RISK – Q4 2020

In general, most of the countries overall risk score increased slightly over the last nine to twelve months.  The overall ranking has not changed significantly, although the top ten positions have witnessed some movement. Nigeria has improved by four positions to thirty-fourth on the list and Angola dropped by eight positions to thirty-five on ABiQ’s Country Risk Ranking.

Southern African countries no longer dominate the top ten positions with three now from Eastern Africa and three from Western Africa in the top ten. Morocco is the only North African country in the top ten. It dropped from the third position to the seventh. The two lowest risk countries are still the Southern African nations Botswana and South Africa.

Libya, South Sudan and Somalia remain the three riskiest countries on the continent.  South Sudan has slightly improved to outperform Libya.

Country Risk – Q2 2020

Four Southern African countries dominate the top 10 in our Overall Country Risk rankings. The number one position belongs to Botswana followed by South Africa.  Namibia and Eswatini in fifth and tenth place respectively complete the Southern African contingent.   East Africa, through Mauritius, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania take fourth and seventh to ninth places respectively.  Morocco in North Africa holds the third position and Senegal in West Africa the sixth place to complete the top 10 places to invest in Africa.

Angola, the best Central African country to invest in finds itself in the twenty-seventh position. Powerhouse Nigeria is number thirty-eight on the list. The bottom three places go to war-torn Libya, South Sudan and Somalia.

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